Back to Revenue Systems
Section 2 · Understanding Revenue

LTV and CAC: The Two Numbers That Decide If You Can Grow

Customer Lifetime Value must beat Customer Acquisition Cost — by a lot.

Revenue
Profit
Growth
Retention

Why it works

LTV ÷ CAC tells you whether marketing is an investment or a leak. Below 3:1, you're burning money.

Connects to

Revenue
Profit
Growth
Retention

When to use it

Before scaling any paid channel and every quarter as a health check.

When NOT to use it

Don't use blended LTV for a brand-new product — segment by cohort.

How to use it

  1. LTV = average revenue per customer × gross margin × average retention months.
  2. CAC = total marketing + sales spend ÷ new customers in the period.
  3. Target LTV:CAC ≥ 3:1. Aim to recover CAC inside 12 months.
  4. If the ratio drops, raise prices, increase retention, or cut acquisition cost — in that order.

Examples

Healthy SaaS

LTV $1,800, CAC $400 → 4.5:1. Safe to scale ads.

Broken DTC

LTV $60, CAC $48 → 1.25:1. Every new customer barely covers ad cost.