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Section 12 · Lifetime Value

The Number That Lets You Outspend Competitors

Whoever can pay the most for a customer wins.

Revenue
Customers

Why it works

If your customer is worth $300 over 2 years and your competitor only knows their first-purchase value of $50, you can outbid them on every ad — profitably.

Connects to

Revenue
Customers

When to use it

Always — LTV defines how much you can afford to spend on acquisition.

When NOT to use it

Don't fake LTV with assumptions. Use real cohort data after 90+ days.

How to use it

  1. Calculate LTV = avg order value × purchase frequency × customer lifespan.
  2. Increase LTV with upsells, cross-sells, and subscriptions.
  3. Increase LTV with retention — emails, onboarding, customer success.
  4. Re-run LTV quarterly — it moves as your business changes.

Examples

Course

$497 course → 30% buy $997 upsell → LTV $796.

SaaS

$49/mo × 14 months avg = $686 LTV.